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ERL特刊精选|Focus on Earth System Resilience and Tipping Behavior

20 12月 2024 gabriels

特刊详情

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Chuixiang Yi，美国纽约市立大学
Vasilis Dakos，法国蒙彼利埃大学
Manjana Milkoreit，挪威奥斯陆大学
Courtney Quinn，澳大利亚联邦科学与工业研究组织
Paul Ritchie，英国埃克塞特大学
Juan Rocha Gordo，瑞典斯德哥尔摩大学
Jana Sillmann，挪威国际气候研究中心

主题范围

Anthropogenic climate change including the increase of unprecedented climate extremes is not a future threat but is happening now. The ability of the atmosphere, hydrosphere or biosphere to adapt to abrupt changes is very limited within a time-frame meaningful to our present social structures. Consequently, determining the resilience of these earth system components to anthropogenic forcing has become a global concern. The resilience of the system, that is its ability to resist these climate disturbances and to recover from the perturbed state, will be a decaying function of the disturbance intensity. Tipping point dynamics can be used to determine system transition conditions at which the perturbed state is no longer decaying but growing and tipping into a new and potentially stable functional branch of the possible outcomes. In the face of catastrophic changes that might be coming, it is vitally important for policy makers and others to know the conditions at which a tipping point could be reached and exceeded. The earth system is highly nonlinear with many positive and negative feedback interactions so that the tipping behavior is complicated. The complexity raises many open research questions: (1) how to determine the tipping elements? (2) what are the early-warning signals for system transitions? (3) what are the potential domino effects for tipping-cascades of abrupt transitions, and (4) does warming climate increase the risk of triggering tipping points?

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特刊文章

Editorial

Earth system resilience and tipping behavior

Chuixiang Yi et al 2024 Environ. Res. Lett. 19 070201

Letters

Changes in the SST-precipitation relationship over the Indo-Pacific warm pool under a warming climate

Hye-Ryeom Kim et al 2023 Environ. Res. Lett. 18 074031

Seeking more robust early warning signals for climate tipping points: the ratio of spectra method (ROSA)

Joseph J Clarke et al 2023 Environ. Res. Lett. 18 035006

Typicality of the 2021 Western North America summer heatwave

Valerio Lucarini et al 2023 Environ. Res. Lett. 18 015004

Green Sahara tipping points in transient climate model simulations of the Holocene

Peter O Hopcroft and Paul J Valdes 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 085001

Assessing the impact of parametric uncertainty on tipping points of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Kerstin Lux et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 075002

A compound event-oriented framework to tropical fire risk assessment in a changing climate

Andreia F S Ribeiro et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 065015

Socio-metabolic risk and tipping points on islands

Simron J Singh et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 065009

Coupled insights from the palaeoenvironmental, historical and archaeological archives to support social-ecological resilience and the sustainable development goals

K J Allen et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 055011

Ecosystems are showing symptoms of resilience loss

Juan C Rocha 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 065013

The forest recovery path after drought dependence on forest type and stock volume

Hui Luo et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 055006

A modeler’s guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems

Lea A Tamberg et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 055005

Contrasting responses of forest growth and carbon sequestration to heat and drought in the Alps

Ludovica Oddi et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 045015

Sea ice-free corridors for large swell to reach Antarctic ice shelves

N J Teder et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett.17 045026

Ecological resilience: what to measure and how

Vasilis Dakos and Sonia Kéfi 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 043003

Power spectrum scaling as a measure of critical slowing down and precursor to tipping points in dynamical systems

Joshua Prettyman et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 035004

Increasing spatiotemporal proximity of heat and precipitation extremes in a warming world quantified by a large model ensemble

Colin Raymond et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 035005

Satellite evidence of canopy-height dependence of forest drought resistance in southwestern China

Peipei Xu et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 025005

Fragmented tipping in a spatially heterogeneous world

Robbin Bastiaansen et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 045006

Perspectives on tipping points in integrated models of the natural and human Earth system: cascading effects and telecoupling

Christian L E Franzke et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 015004

Tipping point dynamics in global land use

Charles A Taylor and James Rising 2021 Environ. Res. Lett.16 125012

What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’?

Ann Kristin Klose et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 125011

On the impossibility of extreme event thresholds in the absence of global warming

Noah S Diffenbaugh and Frances V Davenport 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 115014

A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions

Steven J Lade et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 115005

Rise and fall of vegetation annual primary production resilience to climate variability projected by a large ensemble of Earth System Models’ simulations

Matteo Zampieri et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 105001

Topical reviews

Climate change-related risks and adaptation potential in Central and South America during the 21st century

I Hagen et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 033002

Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system

Niklas Boers et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett.17 093006

期刊介绍

Environmental Research Letters

2023年影响因子：5.8 Citescore: 11.9
Environmental Research Letters（ERL）以金色开放获取模式出版，作者可选择将原始数据作为补充资料与文章一起发表。所有研究人员可以免费获取这些研究成果。ERL汇聚了关注环境变化及其应对的研究团体和政策制定团体的意见，涵盖了环境科学的所有方面，出版研究快报、综述文章、观点和社论。ERL顺应了环境科学的跨学科发表的趋势，反映了该领域相关的方法、工具和评估战略，得到了来自不同领域的广泛贡献。