ERL特刊精选|Northern Eurasia in the Global Earth and Human Systems

21 11月 2023 gabriels



  • Pavel Groisman,美国北卡罗来纳州立大学
  • Shamil Maksyutov,日本国立环境研究所
  • Erwan Monier,美国麻省理工学院
  • Dmitry Schepaschenko,国际应用系统分析研究所



During the past few decades, the Global Earth System has changed significantly, especially across Northern Eurasia. Changes in the socio-economic conditions of the larger countries in the region have resulted in a variety of regional environmental changes that can have global consequences. The Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI) has been designed during the past 12 months as an essential continuation of the Northern Eurasia Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI;, which was launched in 2004. NEESPI sought to elucidate all aspects of ongoing environmental changes, to inform societies and, thus, to better prepare them for future development. A key principle of NEFI is that this development must now be secured through science-based strategies co-designed with regional decision makers to lead their societies to prosperity in the face of environmental and institutional challenges. NEESPI scientific research, data, models, and knowledge created a solid base to support the NEFI program. We expect that this new NEFI Focus Issue will serve as a major outlet for NEFI scientists presenting their new results concerning Northern Eurasia climatic, environmental, and economic changes and social development. These results are based on the NEFI research vision and its new science questions ( which are:
  • How can we quantify and project ecosystems dynamics in Northern Eurasia when these dynamics may be internally unstable?
  • What are the major drivers of the ongoing and future changes in the regional water cycles?
  • How can the sustainable development of societies of Northern Eurasia be secured in the near future?

To address these questions, nine research NEFI foci have been identified and studies that address these foci in Northern Eurasia will be especially welcome within this focus issue. These include:

  • warming of the Arctic;
  • changing frequency, pattern, and intensity of extreme and inclement environmental conditions;
  • retreat of the cryosphere;
  • changes in terrestrial water cycles;
  • changes in the biosphere;
  • pressures on land-use;
  • changes in infrastructure;
  • societal actions in response to environmental changes;
  • quantification of Northern Eurasia’s role in the Global Earth System.

Due to powerful feedbacks between the Earth and Human Systems in Northern Eurasia, it is proposed that Integrated Assessment Models are developed as the final stage of the global change assessment which will include assessment of sustainable development within Northern Eurasia. This overarching goal of the NEFI modeling endeavor will enable evaluation of economic decisions in response to changing environmental conditions and justification of mitigation and adaptation efforts.




Prospects for the sustainability of social-ecological systems (SES) on the Mongolian plateau: five critical issues

Jiquan Chen et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 123004


A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia

Erwan Monier et al 2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 083001



Comparing process-based models with the inventory approach to predict CH4 emission of livestock enteric fermentation

Jianan Zhang et al 2023 Environ. Res. Lett. 18 035002


A link between surface air temperature and extreme precipitation over Russia from station and reanalysis data

M A Aleshina et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 105004


The problem of storage of solid waste in permafrost

Valery I Grebenets et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 105007


Increasing fire and logging disturbances in Siberian boreal forests: a case study of the Angara region

Evgeny G Shvetsov et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 115007


The world’s largest heliothermal lake newly formed in the Aral Sea basin

Alexander S Izhitskiy et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 115009


Ecological restoration and rising CO2 enhance the carbon sink, counteracting climate change in northeastern China

Binbin Huang et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 014002


Contrasting 20-year trends in NDVI at two Siberian larch forests with and without multiyear waterlogging-induced disturbances

Hirohiko Nagano et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 025003


Urban expansion inferenced by ecosystem production on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau

Li Tian and Jiquan Chen 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 035001


Regionalization of climate teleconnections across Central Asian mountains improves the predictability of seasonal precipitation

Atabek Umirbekov et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 055002


The roles of global warming and Arctic Oscillation in the winter 2020 extremes in East Asia

So-Hee Kim et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 065010


Long-term changes of water flow, water temperature and heat flux of two largest arctic rivers of European Russia, Northern Dvina and Pechora

Aleksander G Georgiadi and Pavel Y Groisman 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 085002


Spring snow cover duration and tundra greenness in the Lena Delta, Siberia: two decades of MODIS satellite time series (2001–2021)

Birgit Heim et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 085005


North Eurasian thermal comfort indices dataset (NETCID): new gridded database for the biometeorological studies

P I Konstantinov et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 085006


Characterizing land use with night-time imagery: the war in Eastern Ukraine (2012–2016)

Jaemin Eun and Sergii Skakun 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 095006


Untangling the impacts of socioeconomic and climatic changes on vegetation greenness and productivity in Kazakhstan

Kolluru Venkatesh et al 2022 Environ. Res. Lett. 17 095007


The costs of Arctic infrastructure damages due to permafrost degradation

Dmitry A Streletskiy et al 2023 Environ. Res. Lett. 18 015006


Unprecedented acceleration of winter discharge of Upper Yenisei River inferred from tree rings

Irina P Panyushkina et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 125014


Informal road networks and sustainability of Siberian boreal forest landscapes: case study of the Vershina Khandy taiga

Vera Kuklina et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 115001


Natural and semi-natural land dynamics under water resource change from 1990 to 2015 in the Tarim Basin, China

Fang Liu et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 085001


On the anomalous development of the extremely intense positive Arctic Oscillation of the 2019–2020 winter

A Juzbašić et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 055008


Divergent responses of ecosystem water use efficiency to drought timing over Northern Eurasia

Mengtian Huang et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 045016


Groundwater age of spring discharges under changing permafrost conditions: the Khangai Mountains in central Mongolia

Tetsuya Hiyama et al 2021 Environ. Res. Lett. 16 015008


Protection effect of overwintering water bird habitat and defining the conservation priority area in Poyang Lake wetland, China

Chuanzhun Sun et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett.15 125013


Distribution and bioaccumulation of heavy metals (Hg, Cd and Pb) in fish: influence of the aquatic environment and climate

T I Moiseenko and N A Gashkina 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 115013


Household perceptions of factors that affect food consumption in grassland areas: a case study in the Xilin Gol Grassland, China

Wanni Yang and Lin Zhen 2020 Environ. Res. Lett.15 115007


Vulnerability of the Caspian Sea shoreline to changes in hydrology and climate

Mahdi Akbari et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 115002


The effects of different types of vegetation restoration on wind erosion prevention: a case study in Yanchi

Qi Luo et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 115001


Long-term trends in anthropogenic land use in Siberia and the Russian Far East: a case study synthesis from Landsat

K M Bergen et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett.15 105007


Non-climatic component provoked substantial spatiotemporal changes of carbon and water use efficiency on the Mongolian Plateau

Gang Dong et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 095009


Simulating interactions between topography, permafrost, and vegetation in Siberian larch forest

Hisashi Sato et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett.15 095006


Metal bioavailability in northern low-salinity water: Case study of lakes in the Kola region, Russia

T I Moiseenko et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 095005


Strong shrub expansion in tundra-taiga, tree infilling in taiga and stable tundra in central Chukotka (north-eastern Siberia) between 2000 and 2017

Iuliia Shevtsova et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 085006


Variations in start date, end date, frequency and intensity of yearly temperature extremes across China during the period 1961–2017

Jingya Han et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 045007


Permafrost degradation in the Western Russian Arctic

Alexander A Vasiliev et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 045001


The influence of soil moisture and solar altitude on surface spectral albedo in arid area

Jiaxi Yang et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 035010


Consideration of anthropogenic factors in boreal forest fire regime changes during rapid socio-economic development: case study of forestry districts with increasing burnt area in the Sakha Republic, Russia

Kiunnei Kirillina et al 2020 Environ. Res. Lett. 15 035009


Biodiversity constraint indicator establishment and its optimization for urban growth: framework and application

Chuanzhun Sun et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 125006


The role of river runoff in the Kara Sea surface layer acidification and carbonate system changes

Alexander Polukhin 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 105007


Varying climate response across the tundra, forest-tundra and boreal forest biomes in northern West Siberia

Martin W Miles et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 075008


Aquatic environment and anthropogenic factor effects on distribution of trace elements in surface waters of European Russia and Western Siberia

T I Moiseenko et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 065010


Dissolved methane in the residual basins of the Aral Sea

E S Izhitskaya et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 065005


Assessing landscape potential for human sustainability and ‘attractiveness’ across Asian Russia in a warmer 21st century

Elena Parfenova et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 065004


A spatio-temporal delineation of trans-boundary ecosystem service flows from Inner Mongolia

Gaodi Xie et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 065002


Assessment of post-fire vegetation recovery in Southern Siberia using remote sensing observations

Evgeny G Shvetsov et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 055001


Observed changes in convective and stratiform precipitation in Northern Eurasia over the last five decades

Alexander Chernokulsky et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 045001


Tracking the spatio-temporal change of cropping intensity in China during 2000–2015

Huimin Yan et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett.14 035008


Assessment of climate change impacts on buildings, structures and infrastructure in the Russian regions on permafrost

Dmitry A Streletskiy et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett. 14 025003


Non-uniform changes in different categories of precipitation intensity across China and the associated large-scale circulations

Chiyuan Miao et al 2019 Environ. Res. Lett.14 025004


Increasing crop production in Russia and Ukraine—regional and global impacts from intensification and recultivation

Andre Deppermann et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett.13 025008


Warm Arctic−cold Siberia: comparing the recent and the early 20th-century Arctic warmings

Martin Wegmann et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 025009


Projected changes of thermal growing season over Northern Eurasia in a 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming world

Baiquan Zhou et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 035004


Mid-depth temperature maximum in an estuarine lake

V M Stepanenko et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 035006


Minor contribution of small thaw ponds to the pools of carbon and methane in the inland waters of the permafrost-affected part of the Western Siberian Lowland

Y M Polishchuk et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 045002


Surface forcing of non-stand-replacing fires in Siberian larch forests

Dong Chen and Tatiana V Loboda 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 045008


Quantifying the variability of potential black carbon transport from cropland burning in Russia driven by atmospheric blocking events

Joanne Hall and Tatiana Loboda 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 055010


Ecosystem and human health assessment in relation to aquatic environment pollution by heavy metals: case study of the Murmansk region, northwest of the Kola Peninsula, Russia

T I Moiseenko et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett.13 065005


Changing snow seasonality in the highlands of Kyrgyzstan

Monika A Tomaszewska and Geoffrey M Henebry 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 065006


Influence of high-latitude warming and land-use changes in the early 20th century northern Eurasian CO2 sink

Ana Bastos et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 065014


Large scale climate oscillation impacts on temperature, precipitation and land surface phenology in Central Asia

Kirsten M de Beurs et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 065018


Using an integrated social-ecological analysis to detect effects of household herding practices on indicators of rangeland resilience in Mongolia

María E Fernández-Giménez et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 075010


A high density urban temperature network deployed in several cities of Eurasian Arctic

Pavel Konstantinov et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 075007


Great uncertainties in modeling grazing impact on carbon sequestration: a multi-model inter-comparison in temperate Eurasian Steppe

Yizhao Chen et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 075005


Forest cover and disturbance changes, and their driving forces: A case study in the Ore Mountains, Czechia, heavily affected by anthropogenic acidic pollution in the second half of the 20th century

L Kupková et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 095008


Urbanization and sustainability under transitional economies: a synthesis for Asian Russia

Peilei Fan et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 095007


Assessing the effects of ecological restoration approaches in the alpine rangelands of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

Lin Zhen et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 095005


Present status of water chemistry and acidification under nonpoint sources of pollution across European Russia and West Siberia

T I Moiseenko et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 105007


Dryland belt of Northern Eurasia: contemporary environmental changes and their consequences

Pavel Groisman et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett.13 115008


Systematic errors in northern Eurasian short-term weather forecasts induced by atmospheric boundary layer thickness

Igor Esau et al 2018 Environ. Res. Lett. 13 125009


Mapping growing stock volume and forest live biomass: a case study of the Polissya region of Ukraine

Andrii Bilous et al 2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 105001


Spatially distinct effects of preceding precipitation on heat stress over eastern China

Xingcai Liu et al 2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 115010


Winter Eurasian cooling linked with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

Dehai Luo et al 2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 125002


Reconciliation of top-down and bottom-up CO2 fluxes in Siberian larch forest

Kumiko Takata et al 2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 125012


Environmental Research Letters

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